Cognition
Horoscope for Psychology Today Readers: Explanation
The science and snake-oil of horoscopes
Posted September 25, 2010
Did you find today's personalized horoscope spookily accurate? (If you haven't checked it out, go there first!) Isn't it amazing how precisely the websites you visit allow description of who you are?
In fact (as many of you guessed), it's a trick.
In 1948, psychologist Bertram R. Forer did a similar experiment with his UCLA students, having them take personality tests and then offering "personalized" horoscopes based on the tests' very specific results. That makes sense: based on something like the MMPI, you'd imagine you could return a fairly accurate description of the test-taker's personality. And sure enough, when Forer asked students to rate the horoscopes' accuracy, students gave them an average of 4.26 out of five.
Only, he gave all his students exactly the same horoscope...which was exactly the same as the one you read earlier today. This horoscope draws on fairly universal self-descriptions, light anxieties, and hopes.
This experiment is a favorite of psych 101 classes, where it tends to return results very similar to Forer's original numbers.
--Brain Candy: Science, Puzzles, Paradoxes, Logic and Illogic to Nourish Your Neurons
Related articles by Zemanta
- Horoscope for Psychology Today Readers (psychologytoday.com)
- Astrology and the Forer Effect (beliefnet.com)